CLIMATE CHANGE HOAX?

What if We’re Wrong About the Temperature Change?

The climate “emergency” is predicated on the assumption that Earth’s temperatures have been steadily rising, which will cause serious harm to the planet and its inhabitants.  To preserve a “livable planet,” the Earth can’t warm more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, as the United Nations warns.  They claim that unless we spend trillions of dollars to “mitigate” the problem, there will be increased droughts, more weather-related disasters, more illness and deaths and increased poverty.  But data is only as good as the measuring device and the observer’s behavior.  Both are problematic.

Using Bad Data to Force Action

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) claims that the average land and ocean temperatures were 1.35 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average in 2023.  Their measurements caused spending of, on average, $1.3 trillion in both 2021 and 2022, a big increase over the billions spent in 2019 and 2020.  That’s money that could have been used more wisely, as you will see.  And, despite all that spend, as NOAA claims, 2023 was hotter.  If these efforts worked, we should see improvement.  (This reminds me of spending more on public schools; where’s the benefit?)

Meteorologists have been studying this for a while and have come to some key conclusions.  “More than 90% of NOAA’s monitoring stations have a heat bias,” reports Anthony Watts, senior fellow for environment and climate at the Heartland Institute.  “The biggest bias is the urban heat island effect. What happens is that because heat is retained by the surfaces and released into the air at night, the night’s low temperature is not as low as it could be if the thermometer were outside of town and in a field.” 

Too many of the monitoring stations are placed where there are more buildings, roads and other infrastructure that absorb and then radiate the sun’s heat.  Daytime temperatures can be 1-7 degrees higher than temps in outlying areas.  And this effect increases over time.

“After seeing many reports about NOAA’s adjustments to the USHCN [U.S. Historical Climatology Network] temperature data, I decided to download and analyze the data myself,” Lt. Col. Shewchuk told The Epoch Times.

“I was able to confirm what others have found. It is obvious that, overall, the past temperatures were cooled while the present temperatures were warmed.”

He contends that NOAA and NASA have adjusted historical temperature data in such a way as to make the past appear colder and, by so doing, make the current warming trend more pronounced.

You also have the problem of transient temperature readings.  As the new electric thermometers only record highs and lows for the day, the numbers can be biased by wind shifts.  Wind coming across a hot parking lot, for example, picks up the radiant heat, leading to a higher number than misrepresents the weather. With these problems, you can’t rely on the data collected, which is fed into the climate models to terrify us into action.

The third problem is that NOAA has been adjusting historical data.  “Normally, when correcting data errors, you would expect a more random result in the data adjustments—both up and down—but the results instead show a systematic process of cooling the past and warming the present,” Lt. Col. Shewchuk said.

An example is Iceland’s Reykjavik station.  The February 1936 record for the Reykjavik station showed a mean temperature of minus 0.2 degrees Celsius for the month and an annual mean temperature of 5.78 degrees Celsius, according to the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP). The original GISTEMP monthly data was known as v2, or version 2.

Better Data from Satellites

To get a more accurate reading of the Earth’s fluctuating surface temperatures, Mr. Spencer and climatologist John Christy developed a global temperature data set from microwave data observed from satellites.  They started their project in 1989 and analyzed data going back to 1979.

According to satellite data, since 1979, the Earth’s temperature has been increasing at a steady rate of 0.14 degrees Celsius every 10 years.

And while 2023 was the hottest year on record due to linear warming trends, they say it’s not a cause for public panic.

“Yes, it appears 2023 was the warmest in the last 100 years or so. But numbers matter. The magnitude isn’t large enough for anyone to feel,” Mr. Spencer said.

“Besides, a single year is weather, not climate. What matters is the long-term trend, say many decades.”

He said the 2023 data, added to the 45 years of data since 1979, doesn’t alter the overall trend of 0.14 degrees Celsius increase every 10 years

“I believe both satellites and thermometers show a warming trend, especially since the 1970s,” Mr. Spencer said.  “But the strength of that trend is considerably less than what climate models predict, and it is those models which are used to argue for changes in energy policy and CO2 emissions reduction.”

Solving the Wrong Problem

Any engineer will tell you that if you try to solve a problem, but it’s not really the problem, you are wasting time and money.  This data, collated by Epoch Times, clearly shows that we have been burning dollars in the effort to solve a non-problem, instead of investing in real energy solutions, like nuclear, better food production (genetic engineering) and many other things the Left doesn’t like to discuss.  It’s time we stop wasting resources on this non-problem and look at things we can fix that will actually save and improve lives.

Oh, and by the way….

“All climate models are projecting an ice-free summer within the next 20 years or so,” Ron Kwok, a senior research scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory said in July 2013. “It’s not very far away.”

However, a new report by Allan Astrup Jensen, the research director and CEO at the Nordic Institute of Product Sustainability and Environmental Chemistry and Toxicology in Denmark, shows that from September 2007 through September 2023, Arctic Sea ice declines were near zero.